NEW Gallup: McCain Beats Obama By 4-pts Among Likely Voters
Posted by Dirty Harry on Monday, July 28th, 2008
Not a photoshop. The Messiah: an impure vessel.
Hey, Gaffe-Man, don’t visit America’s finest wounded while preserving you and your party’s right to defame them — go shoot hoops. Don’t admit the surge saved 25 million Iraqis from the slaughter you were so eager to deliver them into … stay the slaughter-the-Iraqis course. Hey, at least Ole Europe digs ya. The latest from Gallup:
The Friday-Sunday poll, mostly conducted as Obama was returning from his much-publicized overseas trip and released just this hour, shows McCain now ahead 49%-45% among voters that Gallup believes are most likely to go to the polls in November.
The eight-point lead for Obama in the widely cheered (by the left-wing media) Gallup tracking poll is registered voters. This more accurate poll is likely voters. “Registered” includes every pot head college student who signed up to vote hoping to score with the MoveOn chick unaware she already has a boyfriend at home and her name is Marie.
It’s also worth noting that Republicans tend to poll poorly on weekends and don’t close until closer to the election. This is either great news or a blip. Either way, the liberal media bias will be on display when we see how little attention this poll gets in comparison to others.
Filed in General |
Stephanieon 28 Jul 2008 at 5:54 pm 1
Mr24pon 28 Jul 2008 at 5:54 pm 2Not sure if you saw the thing today about the study that said the media was more unfair towards Obama than McCain. O’Reilly had the guy that did this study on his radio show and apparently the guy considered someone questioning Obama’s stance on something as negative. So if a reporter asked about Obama being against the war for example it is considered a negative. I’m sure the left will use this to say how the media is not biased and leave out that little tidbit.
A biased study to show how the media is not biased.
Alicaron 28 Jul 2008 at 6:08 pm 3Uh, that is photoshopped.
And this survey had a much smaller sample than Gallup’s non-USA-Today tracking poll, which still shows Obama with an 8-point lead. So it probably is a fluke.
Stephanieon 28 Jul 2008 at 6:10 pm 4Alicar that piccie has been everywhere you are the first to say its photoshopped. Can you prove it? Obama smokes like a chimney…..
abeon 28 Jul 2008 at 6:34 pm 5After snooping around the internet it’s clear that that picture IS photoshopped. The cigarette casts no shadow and his lips don’t even look like they’re holding a cigarette.
Dirty Harry might as well have posted this one:
http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3181/2556751196_a40fa5a54e.jpg
Kiton 28 Jul 2008 at 6:42 pm 6McCain just might win…
Stephanieon 28 Jul 2008 at 6:45 pm 7Like said hanging out with the Volkssturm was a bad idea for Barry….or Lightning.
Carlitoson 28 Jul 2008 at 7:05 pm 8Good luck getting those young voters out to the polls, Obama! Hasn’t worked out too well for the Dems so far.
Tom Aricoon 28 Jul 2008 at 7:08 pm 9You mean those people who came to his speech in Germany last are not likley voters?
GMKon 28 Jul 2008 at 7:13 pm 10Impure vessel. Very nice.
McCain just might win? McCain has been a slam dunk since he was nominated if you asked me. The only question I’ve had is “who is more unelectable, Hillary or Obama?” The Democratic party of 2000 would have crushed the Republicans this time around. That party is dead. Howard Dean running the show? Hillary Clinton?? And some nobody who’s single qualification is being a liberal’s poster boy? It’s like Rob Reiner went to a smoke lodge, hallucinated, wept a little about our rich multicultural tapestery, and squeezed Obama out of his mangina fully-formed and ready to start campaigning. He’s going to get annihilated. The electorate will sober up.
Stephanieon 28 Jul 2008 at 7:24 pm 11Arn’t you glad Carlitos that those Germans can’t vote here? They already experiemented with National Socialism……we don’t need to here thank you very much.
Carolynon 28 Jul 2008 at 8:33 pm 12I nearly died laughing when I read this article:
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/07/28/us/politics/28web-nagourney.html?_r=1&oref=slogin
“Where’s the Bounce?” it asks. Despite unprecedented coverage where Obama is literally on the front page of every newspaper, on every channel, the object of adoring masses, etc., he’s doesn’t have a bounce in the polls. He should be 20, 30, even 40 points ahead of McCain. But instead Obama is barely 6 or 7. The paper doesn’t understand it.
I find media obtuseness amusing in any case - but THIS article is particularly hilarious! It’s from the New York Times.
Zundfolgeon 28 Jul 2008 at 8:45 pm 13The liberal is ALWAYS more points ahead of the liberal the farther away from the actual election. As the election gets closer the numbers get better for the conservative.
Then there’s the Bradley Effect which liberal pundits are trying disparately to convince themselves doesn’t apply to Obama, but I suspect applies more than any black politician in history.
I’m not convinced that McCain won’t do something stupid to screw things up (like choose someone like Lieberman as his running mate). But I’m cautiously optimistic.
I’m also still not convinced there isn’t some great and mysterious force behind Obama that we don’t fully understand yet.
EPorvaznikon 28 Jul 2008 at 9:45 pm 14I’m thoroughly enjoying batting the ball around with a lib friend of mine (who claims he’s a centrist) as he goes from stating Obama’s done no wrong anywhere he goes before retreating to “almost” no wrong, and not even replying to very astute analyses (Stealth Socialist and Citizen of the World) from a different buddy of mine who really ought to run for office someday:
http://beartotheright.blogspot.com/
Some poops and giggles fun from the MoveOn.Now army of one:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=We-zF6RThHY
Zundfolgeon 28 Jul 2008 at 9:47 pm 15That first sentence should have read; “The liber is ALWAYS more points ahead of the conservative…”
I know … read twice, post once. :p
whiskeyon 28 Jul 2008 at 11:06 pm 16Seniors vote about 75% participation (registered voters). Youth? Less than half.
Obama is stronger among Youth than Seniors, who he has a LOT of problems with (and who his youth and youth-oriented stuff turns off).
It’s not as if I blogged about it here:
http://whiskeys-place.blogspot.com/2008/06/can-barack-obama-win-with-youth-vote.html
Obama draws the Pauline Kael type-vote. [Kael was a NYT film critic famous for wondering how Reagan won against Carter when no one she knew on the Upper East Side voted for him.]
JBon 29 Jul 2008 at 3:43 am 17“I’m also still not convinced there isn’t some great and mysterious force behind Obama that we don’t fully understand yet.”
I don’t think there’s much of a mystery. He’s able to get away with more bullsh*t than other politicians because calling him out on it would be, like, racist or something. That’s the implied threat. He has mastered the art of race blackmail.
Mighty Skipon 29 Jul 2008 at 6:30 am 18Absolutely JB. There are a few people I know, so I feel confident stating there are much more out there who feel the same way, who plan on voting for Obama simply because he is black and they are white. When I ask them about Obama’s stances, thoughts on anything they pretty much draw a blank.
And to Obama’s credit, he put his whole plan right up there on the internet for all to read. None of that seems to matter; they are under the impression that voting for a hyphenated American will somehow absolve them of all their racial sins they have been convinced they have committed. Or their parents… or grand parents… or great great great grandparents… or that time they didn’t open the door for that black guy with his hands full. It is true they were looking after their kids and didn’t see him but they know deep down the real reason is that they are racist. Because, you know it is all institutionalized.
Mr24pon 29 Jul 2008 at 8:36 am 19“whiskeyon 28 Jul 2008 at 11:06 pm 16
Seniors vote about 75% participation (registered voters). Youth? Less than half.
Obama is stronger among Youth than Seniors, who he has a LOT of problems with (and who his youth and youth-oriented stuff turns off).”
Very good point. The thing that will backfire too is the fact that what is the one thing the left is going after McCain about? His age. They make fun of his age and senior citizens won’t be laughing when they step into the voting booth.
Zundfolgeon 29 Jul 2008 at 9:06 am 20Actually JB I was referring to something a little more supernatural and evil.
Considering the religious fervor of many of his followers it does lead one to consider the AC question.
*runs and hides from the accusations of “religious kook”*
Stephanieon 29 Jul 2008 at 9:13 am 21Nah they remind me of more of certain kinds that hung out in Nuremburg around 1935………………
Zackon 29 Jul 2008 at 2:09 pm 22It’s funny that so soon after a post claiming conservatives are more gracious and respectful than liberals (http://dirtyharrysplace.com/?p=3250), commenters are subtly suggesting Obama is in league with Satan- or perhaps just a latter day Nazi.
misterdon 29 Jul 2008 at 2:19 pm 23Two things:
1) Even if the polling methodology is valid, about 1 in 20 polls is just going to come up bad. This poll is a definately outlier, and shouldn’t be believed unless more polls agree with it.
2) Does anyone know what a “likely voter” is this time out? Odds are good blacks will turn out in greater numbers than ever before, while conservative Republicans, at the moment, would appear to be more likely to sit on their duffs than vote McCain. We have no idea if the youth vote, which finally has a cause and figure to rally around, will finally make good on their pledges, or go to the nearest kegger instead of voting, like the always do. We are still waiting to see if Hillary Voters continue to carry their grudge, and I’m not sure anyone knows how having a (sort of) black man on the ballot will influence the hispanic vote, asian vote, Jewish vote, or blue collar union vote.